2013 NFL Mock Draft – Part 1
Draft season means a lot of things. Well, mainly it means one thing: NFL teams are about to sign a bunch of new players. And because of that, it means another thing: mock drafts.
I like mock drafts the way most men like cold beer. Or their children. Or maybe their vehicles. Or, if they’re DeShawn Stevenson, $5 bills. I got a couple of the usual SpreeGoogs mock drafters to join me and we’re giving you a four-part mock starting today. Here’s the cast who will be making the picks:
We’ll each be picking for our favorites teams (except Frank) and the rest of the picks are spread out so we each get eight picks as far apart as possible. This year, unlike last year, we’re throwing trades into the mix. Without further ado …
1. Kansas City Chiefs: Luke Joeckel, OT (Texas A&M)
Frank: It’s been a busy offseason on the offensive side or the Chiefs, picking up Alex Smith as their next quarterback, bringing back Dwayne Bowe and franchising Brandon Albert, among other moves (see Daniel, Chase). So, one might think that they would go defense with this pick, but Joeckel seems to have established himself as a consensus #1 pick. Plus, with Albert franchised, they may not have him for long, so Joeckel solidifies to O-Line for years to come.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Dion Jordan, OLB/DE (Oregon)
Conor: The Jacksonville Jaguars were awful on defense last year and their biggest weakness was applying pressure on the quarterback. The Jags had the fewest sacks last year and Jordan not only adds consistent edge pressure, but he also adds versatility to play several positions because of his speed and athleticism. The only other option for this Jaguars team is OT, Eric Fisher to boost their O-line. At this point, their defensive needs are too great a hole to not fill with Jordan’s upside.
**Trade**: Miami sends first-round pick (12), two second-round picks (54 in 2013 and next year’s) and a third-round pick (82) to the Raiders for the third overall selection.
Why the Dolphins do it
Adam: The Dolphins’ most pressing need is to replace Jake Long at left tackle. The good news for them is that they have a ton of picks to make it happen. The bad news is that there are two players they want and it’s going to cost a lot to get one. They have the pieces (five picks in the first three rounds) to make a run at a player up top, and lucky for the ‘Fins, the two best players in this draft play OT. Joeckel is already off the board, so Miami jumps up here to steal Fisher before the Eagles can take him. The price is a little high, but recent drafts have a history of teams paying a high price for their guy (see Griffin III, Robert and Jones, Julio).
Why the Raiders do it
Zach: The Raiders don’t want this pick for a few reasons. There is no impact player that they absolutely have to at this spot, especially since they are set at offensive tackle with Jared Veldheer and Khalif Barnes. They don’t want to dole out a No. 3 pick contract, since they have $49 million in dead money (out of the $123 million that is the NFL cap this year) from having to cut Tommy Kelly, Rolando McClain, Darrius Heyward-Bey, etc. And they need to recoup draft picks that they burned away trading for Carson Palmer, as they currently are without a second rounder. If the Dolphins are game for it, it’s a no brainer for Oakland. If I were them, I would settle for just the Dolphins’ first round pick and one second rounder, but Adam was nice enough to give me a couple extra picks. Win.
3. Miami Dolphins: Eric Fisher, OT (Central Michigan)
Adam: I gave most of this away in the trade writeup, but the Dolphins have made it pretty public that they’re looking for a cornerstone OT in this draft. In my opinion, Joeckel and Fisher are co- best players and there’s no way either will fall to the 12 spot. There’s a chance Miami will settle for Lane Johnson, but that’s still a player they would have to trade up to get. There’s a history of teams succeeding by drafting OTs with early picks and the price is worth it for Fisher.
4. Philadelphia Eagles: Sharrif Floyd, DT (Florida)
Adam: The Eagles aren’t going to be happy to see Fisher off the board, they need to build an athletic offensive line that will allow Chip Kelly’s offense to work. Secondary is something the Eagles need, but they’ve canceled workouts with Dee Milliner, so it looks like they’ll be focusing on the defensive line. This pick comes down to Star Lotulelei or Shariff Floyd, similar players at the same position. Most draft scouts rank Floyd slightly better and the Eagles will be sure to give him the hometown edge. Eagles fans should celebrate any pick here that isn’t Geno Smith.
5. Detroit Lions: Dee Milliner, CB (Alabama)
Frank: Given this scenario, the first reaction of the Lions will be to be disappointed that Fisher and Joeckel are both off the board, but they should’ve have been expecting that anyways. Offensive tackle is a major need for the Lions after losing both OTs from last year’s squad (Backus to retirement, Cherilus signed with Colts). However, Riley Reiff was their first round pick last year, and he’ll start this year to replace one. I don’t see them reaching for Lane Johnson here, and they are already set at DT with Suh so Lotulelei isn’t a fit. I see them going with a potentially game-changing CB who also happens to be the best player available from my perspective.
6. Cleveland Browns: Xavier Rhodes, CB (Florida State)
Conor: The Cleveland Browns are in desperate need of a starting corner back and even with arguably the best CB taken one pick prior, the Browns still need to address this position. Xavier Rhodes is a stretch this early in the draft, but his size, length and speed make him an intriguing option for the Browns. If the season were to start today, the Browns would have a CB tandem of Buster Skrine and Joe Haden. Plugging someone into that defensive position, even if a risk, will be and should be a top priority for the Browns.
7. Arizona Cardinals: Lane Johnson, OT (Oklahoma)
Zach: Assuming a team like the Chargers doesn’t trade ahead of the Cardinals to swoop him up, Johnson becomes a slam-dunk pick here for Arizona. Their current starters at tackle are Levi Brown and Bobby Massie, and that ain’t going to cut it when Carson Palmer is your quarterback. Palmer is almost as immobile as Philip Rivers (which is saying something) so your pass protection better be good, especially if Bruce Arians wants to take advantage of his arm and throw the ball downfield. Also, the Cardinals hosted Johnson for dinner recently, and it would just be rude of them to buy him dinner and then not call him ever again.
**Trade**: San Diego sends first-round pick (11) and fourth-round pick (110) the Bills for the eighth overall selection.
This pick will be a guest selection from Zach’s wife, Nichol, the only die-hard Chargers fan in existence.
Why the Bills do it
Adam: The Bills are in a very weird spot in terms of players available matching team needs. They have big holes on offense (QB and WR) that would require too much reaching. Besides, Ryan Nassib and E.J. Manuel will probably be available in the second round. The next biggest need is for a linebacker, but I don’t see Jarvis Jones or Alec Ogletree going this high. The Bills are a team with plenty of needs and they can get a great player dropping back a few spots and grab another fourth-rounder.
Why the Chargers do it
Nichol: Chargers’ new GM, Tom Telesco, has a lot to prove this draft. After recent first round busts like Ryan Matthews and Larry English, Telesco must nail this pick to show both the fans and franchise that he will be a difference maker. Telesco has said that he will do whatever it takes to get his man in this draft, which is why trading up to get a marquee O-Lineman is a definite possibility. With many of the strongest lineman going early, waiting until 11 to pick is not a good option for the Chargers. Phillip Rivers is quite possibly the least mobile quarterback in the league which is only exacerbated by one of the worst offensive lines. They have to do something in order to help Rivers to be successful, this trade up and pick will be the start of that.
8. San Diego Chargers: Chance Warmack, OG (Alabama)
Nichol: Did I mention yet that Phillip Rivers is the slowest and least mobile quarterback in the league? Oh, I did? Sorry… As the “only die-hard Chargers fan in existence” I spend a lot of time screaming at my TV for someone, anyone to give Rivers a few extra moments to throw the ball. Chance Warmack is our guy. Warmack started 40 games at football powerhouse Alabama, which means he stays healthy. I can’t say the same for the rest of the offensive line the Chargers currently have. He will bring an immediate impact to the line and to Rivers. Warmack’s durability allowed him to spend his last three seasons clearing the way for Mark Ingram, Trent Richardson and Eddie Lacy. Now, time to do the same for Ryan Mathews. He’s a solid pick, he’s a safe pick, he’s the best pick.
That’s all for today, let us know what you think in the comments and come back later this week for the rest: